Predictive Analytics: Defined
Source: www.spss.com
Copyright SPSS, Inc. 2004


Predictive analytics connects data to effective action by drawing reliable conclusions about current conditions and future events.

Predictive analytics, like enterprise resource planning (ERP) and customer relationship management (CRM), is both a business process and a set of related technologies. Predictive analytics leverages an organization's business knowledge by applying sophisticated analytic techniques to enterprise data. The resulting insights can lead to actions that demonstrably change how people behave as customers, employees, patients, students, and citizens.

The predictive analytics process begins by exploring how specific business issues relate to data describing people's characteristics, attitudes, and behavior. These numeric and free-form data sets, which originate from both internal systems and third party providers, are cleansed, transformed, and evaluated using statistical, mathematical, and other algorithmic techniques. These techniques generate models for classification, segmentation, forecasting, pattern recognition, sequence and association detection, anomaly identification, profiling, propensity scoring, rule induction, text mining, and advanced visualization.

Combining predictive analytic models with organizational business knowledge provides insight into such critical issues as customer acquisition and retention, up-selling and cross-selling, fraud detection, and outcome improvement. Through measuring uncertainty surrounding these issues, predictive analytics enables proactive risk management, refining key decision making processes through controlled, iterative testing of potential actions and their likely intended-and unintended-consequences. These findings and their corresponding business rules can then be deployed within front-line operational systems to identify new revenue opportunities, measurable cost savings, repeatable process improvements, and sustainable competitive advantages.

Predictive analytics carries strategic and tactical ramifications for organizations that recognize the inherent value locked within their existing enterprise data. Strategically, predictive analytics provides a quantitative foundation for rapidly identifying, objectively evaluating, and confidently pursuing new market opportunities. Tactically, predictive analytics identifies precisely whom to target, how to reach them, when to make contact, and what messages should be communicated.